Thursday, January 23, 2014

Overview: The Plan

The plan is to communicate my thoughts as I work towards developing the spreadsheets.

1)Have a combination of spreadsheets to use.
2)Have a checklist to go through it ritualistically to prevent or limit mistakes.
3)Having a human element of looking over the charts to filter out those that don't have the right location and identify the risk and reward.
4)Have a spreadsheet that takes that data along with available option prices to provide some sort of weighting according to expectation.
5)Have a spreadsheet that keeps a journal of my trades that I placed combined with new ones I plan to enter and which breaks down my current allocations automatically.
6)Have a spreadsheet that analyze whatever information I can and from that semi-manually provide an expectation of return and risk for all relevant asset classes and from that automatically generate a recommendations of allocation according to expectations and adjusted based upon confidence.
7)Use a more multifaceted trading simulator spreadsheet that can pull data from the other sheets and calculate simultaneously positions with given expectation of correlation.
8)Find which combination of allocation satisfies goals of either reducing a particular probability of a drawdown or failure to be up over a certain amount in X years, maximize a probability of a TARGET... or a combination of both.
9)Code it and encrypt it:Have a programmer transfer it into an software application for PC, mac, and mobile....
10)Use it to dominate the markets...

And if I'm feeling generous and you're all lucky...
11)Market it and sell it?

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